Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 68107.424760 72036.667371 75971.414597 80204.364747 84626.384207 89106.619072 93986.000300
2025-04-20 62063.966609 68090.900991 74301.431105 81170.076477 88544.296795 96214.072932 104784.875497
2025-04-27 57892.936970 65380.488975 73271.639288 82188.705034 91965.243019 102338.213438 114156.216991
2025-05-04 54390.770006 62947.425096 72137.529219 82710.198122 94504.617556 107224.278851 121945.280090
2025-05-11 51237.521614 60599.635797 70824.207816 82773.084108 96305.122538 111105.462867 128466.612839
2025-05-18 48670.239021 58704.238044 69828.651345 83012.865587 98145.029773 114902.140838 134791.998544
2025-05-25 46363.376483 56948.951910 68849.095950 83135.557775 99734.201988 118323.341950 140623.940006
2025-06-01 44871.352555 56035.985733 68746.124091 84183.134062 102315.721070 122827.469302 147668.032619
2025-06-08 42878.559676 54424.638187 67732.010159 84078.016851 103482.698944 125646.655023 152732.425105
2025-06-15 41807.936021 53850.463642 67884.909047 85299.393123 106168.565770 130210.637584 159827.866633
2025-06-22 40563.523372 53000.782609 67652.481204 86011.800789 108214.199772 134003.543388 166017.324369
2025-06-29 39080.994726 51793.251741 66929.457055 86079.496050 109445.278988 136804.690355 171021.094613
2025-07-06 37590.947168 50534.978009 66112.986619 86012.595173 110508.977243 139421.238856 175846.225640
2025-07-13 36793.303428 50111.734461 66297.289150 87154.164094 113035.055430 143800.658126 182816.582702
2025-07-20 36034.581484 49702.730464 66470.580632 88260.143088 115506.614244 148117.771615 189734.500565
2025-07-27 35069.612600 48989.664104 66228.504492 88818.673143 117282.420663 151582.026995 195625.522950
2025-08-03 33938.692089 48019.576328 65623.665472 88886.649884 118421.622797 154252.210936 200544.705103
2025-08-10 32955.322630 47207.033890 65188.069482 89140.979412 119773.418568 157174.183228 205777.651577
2025-08-17 31971.760427 46359.844233 64676.992648 89271.025526 120947.507847 159865.331685 210727.636506
2025-08-24 31455.966282 46117.556931 64935.022600 90380.744210 123363.342916 164112.591711 217637.937014
2025-08-31 30460.685643 45195.338623 64273.335340 90269.403160 124196.415320 166363.704881 222051.220115
2025-09-07 30083.123302 45099.801530 64691.090605 91563.043128 126839.580706 170909.136216 229377.632317
2025-09-14 29510.448552 44715.882426 64708.838639 92317.507853 128779.167509 174567.439368 235601.499007